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naznatips on 15 June 2011
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Carl2291 said:
naznatips said:

Your data is pretty skewed. First of all, scrap anything before this generation. The PS3 and the PS2 might as well not even be related, cause that audience clearly didn't transition well. In the interest of fairness that also means you can drop the first Forza, which gives us just Prologue PSP, and 5, which paints a much more even picture. Consider again that two of those GT games were not full price ($30 and $40 and the $30 one actually sold most of its copies at $20 or less), and that Forza has yet another release this year and it should easily pass it in franchise success for the generation. 


If we're doing that, then I think it's only fair to consider that GT5 Prologue is... Well... Pretty much a demo, and GT PSP was released on a dying platform, absolutely owned by piracy. Add in the fact that a huge chunk of GT4's sales came actually during this generation, but I'll let you off with that last one

Even then... GT5P, GTPSP and GT5 all combined are still at 13.8 Million, should be pushing close to 15 Million by the end of the Year, maybe more, if we have GT5 undertracked here (As it looks).

Forza 2 and Forza 3 are sitting at 8.84 Million currently. Hard to say where it will be by Years end, as we don't know what bundles they will be giving out, if they do infact bundle the game. I think it's fair to say that the Forza franchise though will be somewhere around 11/12 Million by the end of the Year. And that's being generous really, as it took F3 a full year to hit 3 Million (With a launch and ODST bundle), I'm giving F4 3 Months to do it! (Forza 3 did 2 Million in 3 Months) It will still be far behind GT for the gen, and it'll be hard to catch up...

I think GT will end up with higher sales for the gen, despite only actually releasing one full game on a home console. And if GT6 is a PS3 game, Forza has no chance.


I agree if and only if GT6 ends up on PS3, but considering the GT development cycle has been increasing exponentially between releases, we can expect GT6 sometime 2026.