3rd party support is the same for all 3 consoles now (I am counting in WiiU). That being said I see Sony is not in trouble. It is going to get all the 3rd party games next gen plus all the ips they made this gen plus all the ips they did not bring in this gen.
On the other hand, I see Microsoft to be in trouble next gen. Their lack of ips (only one system seller Halo) will not save them. They are already milking the franchise more than needed (6 Halo games in one gen?!#%). Lets see what happens to Halo 4 and we will have an idea.
Nintendo is kinda safe. It can run without the hardcore gamers which they showed with Wii. But with WiiU they are serious to catch some hardcore fans. They have good 1st party support that also sells systems.
P.S: If Sony does not have system sellers like the article claims, who the hell sold those 50 million consoles :) ?
