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I don't think it has big chance. PS3 software sells better in Europe but America is the land of shooters. So UT may do similar numbers in Europe and in America like CoD4 which sold 0.71mln in America and 0.8 mln in Others. I think that it can end at around 700k. Japan also shouldn't be helpful however it could add around 50k.
I am actually pretty dissapointed with UT3 performance, thought it will do better.