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This is a fairly easy prediction to make. If it comes to pass you have a great boast to make, and if it doesn't come to pass everyone forgets about it entirely. This is a coin toss prediction with all upside, and no downside. There is just one real problem with predictions like this, and that is Microsoft will follow the same rules everyone else follows. In fact Microsoft almost never does it like the other guys. A early launch into this generation wasn't expected, and that to me means that a quick delivery out of Microsoft isn't out of the question either.

What I mean is Microsoft isn't necessarily beholden to history. So they probably do not see console unveils at E3 as a must, but they also probably do not see a eighteen month run up as a must. I will make a coin toss prediction that Microsoft will unveil its console next year, and launch it within the same year.