I think MS will be successful for a slightly different reason. They have raised awareness and have had decent success with their prototype for motion gaming, that was Kinect.
Now for their next console, all they need to do is:
-Put in relatively new hardware (at least beyond what Wii 2 is doing) which should keep the hardcore happy and 3rd party support going strong. But from what we know, Wii 2 is using 2007 hardware, so whatever MS do will probably be better.
-Have more XBL functionalities and even more improved connectivity.
-Build in Kinect with head tracking, 1:1 and perhaps a few new innovations allowing for both casual and hardcore games.
-Price that bitch competitively and market the fuck out of it (like they did with Kinect).
-Swim in cash.
I personally think the nextbox has the potential to be the system where for the first time, the hardcore and the casual can live together in harmony. If they can manage that, sales will be INSANE.
