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M.U.G.E.N said:

seriously, wait until we get the specs for these articles? :D I mean it's what 2-3 weeks from now..so close

and if the next ps and xbox are way stronger and similar to each other, within 2 years or so we will be in a similar situation of 3rd parties giving up support on the cafe. but all these speculations are useless without solid info


The difference between the Wii's 3rd party situation and what could potentially happen to the Cafe is primarly due to the releases of rival consoles.

For the entire of the 7th gen so far, high profile and quality third party support was divided  between the DS/PSP (DQIX, MGS PW, etc) and PS3/360 (MGS4, GTA4, etc), with the Wii only getting the odd game that fell inbetween (MH3, RF:F, etc).  By the time the Wii launched, the 360 had about a year advantage and within a few months the PS3 was launched in all major regions.  The Wii did not have an early lead at all.

What I expect to happen with the Cafe (and keep in mind I know buggar all about it atm) is that in the time period between its launch and the respective launches of PS4/720 (which I expect late 2013), the cafe will gain good third party support both from ports of 7th gen HD games and to a lesser degree exclusives.  Upon the release of the PS4/720, Western 3rd party support will almost entirely switch to the new platforms and the Cafe will be in a Wii esque situation, getting a few downgraded ports and not too much else.

Where I expect the difference between Wii and Cafe to be is concerning Japanese support.  While the PS4/360 are going to get games like the mainline FF and MGS games, I believe the medium profile Japanese support will mainly be on 3DS, NGP and to a lesser degree Cafe.  Upon the release of PS4/720, I expect lots of Japanese developers to keep to Cafe/360/PS3 multiplat or Cafe exclusive rather than make the jump to PS4/720 multiplat.  This is where I expect the difference between Wii and Cafe will be.