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Sony probably has the best shot - NGP could steal the show with its sexiness

MS has a good shot - Kinect overload could deliver with the hardcore games with a possible trump card of hardware announcements (either massive price cut or early info on new system), plus they ended up winning E3 every year anyway due to Sony and N dropping the ball and having awful presentations

Nintendo probably not much chance - 3DS is dead and gone and unless cafe does something amazing with the video controlers or reveals vastly upgraded specs compared to the rumors then it is pretty much DOA as well.