| theprof00 said: So, I was reading the latest troll thread by kirby, and thought of something he said. Basically, he said that 2nd place doesn't matter anymore as the time is nearly up, summarizing that the most important thing is that 360 is way up and ps3 is way down. That got me thinking. Just how far down has ps3 come? What follows are price history and sales for consoles within those pricing segments. 10/26/2000 US$299.99 LAUNCH http://forums.afterdawn.com/thread_view.cfm/352440 ps3 life = 4 years, 7 months cut off= 4.8 M So, 26M @299 PS3 price drops 11/16/2006 US499 (15.35M) totals So, 26M @299= 7.77B 11/16/2006 US499 (15.35M)=7.65B totals:
holy shit would you look at that. Unfortunately, it's really impossible to measure the games since vgc doesn't have good records of game sales in early ps2 days. So, I can't go there, but looking at an inflation calculator, it says inflation has gone up 28 %. Also, I set the ps3 release price to 500, to cover not knowing how many of each were sold, and because my point was to say that ps3 matches the ps2, I erred on the side of me being wrong. After all is said and done, ps3 hardware vs ps2 is between roughly 700M and 1.5B off from what the ps2 did. First number of 700M considers half of release consoles sold at 499, and half at 599. So, to conclude, money spent on playstation hardware (console only) has dropped between 3.5 and 8%, or something like that. I'm not an expert, so do the numbers yourself if you're going to be a critic. :P
The other conclusions to be made are hard to decide on. It's possible that, overall, ps3 total hardware has grossed more than ps2 hardware, given more expensive controllers, and Playstation Move. On the other hand, ps2 may have moved more software in the same time frame. Well, this certainly was interesting. At a drop of ~5% with several other factors not coming in, I think it's safe to say that spending has not gone down at all in the transition from ps2 to ps3, meaning that while the install base has diminished, the potential IS there to sell more consoles. Another very interesting tidbit is that at 299$, the ps2 sold 26M in 2 years. In 3 months, it will be 2 years since the price drop to 299$ for the ps3, and IT HAS ALREADY SOLD 27.7M. It is up an entire 1.7M with three months to go. Selling at an average of 100k per week until that time, we will see a, roughly, 3M increase, which is 11.5% increase of the two systems sold at the same price. At 199$, PS2 sold 21.6M units. Looking at an 11.5% increase carrying over, we get 24M over the course of one year, easily putting it over the 360. So, the only question is, when are we getting this price drop? =P Thanks for reading.
tl;dr PS3 may be at 70M by this time next year. Toppling 360 in sales, and ps2 in revenue. |
This statement you made is much too simple. Your ignoring the fact that it took $813 to make a PS3 back in 2006 and it was selling at around $600. Add in what just happened with PSN and the factor that PS3 was losing money until 2009. PS2 was a success from day 1 and making profits ever since. But there's no doubt that PS3 will surpass 360 and maybe even the Wii. But making more profits than the PS2 seems impossible at the momment
