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Initial price and launch line up weigh pretty heavily.

For a reasonable price of $400, there has to be at least one must buy title that simply can't run on current hardware and a few other lesser titles to make it worth the transition.

I'd be a bit less concerned about early QC than some. Somehow, I just can't see MS repeating the 360 launch mistake and should have already learned everything they need to know about manufacturing a decently reliable console.