| Immortal said: I figure Nintendo will end up with about 90% marketshare this time around. Featurewise, I don't see anything close to an advantage for NGP in terms of mass market appeal, especially if 3D catches on. Gamewise, Sony couldn't even dream to be comparable to Nintendo in handhelds. Pricewise, Nintendo wins - they're making 3DSs for $100 a pop for goodness's sake! Supportwise, NGP looks to be a few notches below PSP as far as advantage over Nintendo is concerned since the 3DS is getting good support from the start as well. |
90%? I HIGHLY doubt it will get anywhere near that. At the very most, it will be similar to this gen, around ~ 70%. The only way Sony could possibly surrender that much marketshare with the support they are currently getting in Japan, and to a lesser extent EMEAA, would be to release the NGP for ~$399 and refuse to lower the price for a year or so.
