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RolStoppable said:

The 3DS is struggling, because better graphics don't automatically translate to better games and it suffers from a too high price tag at the moment. Either the price comes down to a level that matches the value of the current software library or the library gets build up to the point that the price tag is justified. The most likely scenario is that parity will be reached once the system gets a $/€199 price tag.

The NGP will share the same exact problems once it launches, so expect a PSP vs. NGP battle similar to the one we saw with the PS2 vs. PS3. Ports of home console games aren't going to make the 3DS and NGP sell well, so banking on such ports isn't going to bring the desired results. For Sony to have a chance at 50 % marketshare they have to hope for a combination of third parties treating the 3DS like the Wii and Nintendo selfdestructing by, for example, not releasing a Super Mario Bros. game. There isn't one coming out this fiscal year, so Sony's chances for the latter to happen aren't actually that bad, but it's just a part of the equation.

While it's certainly true that Nintendo has positioned itself quite bad with the 3DS, so far there's nothing that suggests that Sony can take advantage of that. And by the time the NGP has released worldwide, the 3DS can already look back at a full year of game releases, making it look much more attractive than the NGP (which won't cost less than the 3DS) with a handful of worthwile launch titles.

I think that's the first time i have to agree with you.