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I do think there is some truth in that Nintendo is changing directions with the 3DS, and if the rumors are true (a big if) with Cafe. On the other hand, I feel that when Wii came out early on the Nintendo executives talked a lot about customers moving "up-stream", where people who got into gaming through Wii Sports may play Mario or Zelda. So in many ways the 3DS and Cafe are the natural progression, where Nintendo feels they have attracted enough new gamers that their new consoles did not need to be disruptive (like Wii and DS) to be highly profitable and succesful.