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I'm sorry, but America alone won't help the 360 overcome the PS3. Yes, America is by far the largest region, but EMEAA and Japan combined are as big(in terms of game industry), if not bigger, and the PS3 has been outselling the 360 by miles in these regions.

Plus Gears isn't big enough to make 360 outsell PS3. Heck, I live in the UK (I'm a 360 owner) and Kinect has been selling very poorly over here.

The only thing I can see Sony lagging behind the 360 is profit. I think MS are actually making profit on the 360 right now, whereas Sony is still trying to make up for all the losses that it made during launch.