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finalsquall said:
Sky Render said:
I doubt the PS3 will last 10 years in the popular marketplace, simply because it has nothing compelling interface-wise to offer over a current competitor, and won't have anything compelling interface-wise to offer over future competitors either. Sony could probably get away with producing the system for that long and get some amount of sales, but as for the system ever really "taking off" the way the PS2 did, the odds are slim to none.

Predicting a fad is a notoriously hard thing to do anyway. Unless you can accurately gauge the staying power of a product, you can't really say when its popularity will fade. So I can show a little sympathy towards the people who are still anti-Wii, if only because they're still struggling with how strong its appeal really is. Not that we're really much more capable, though we do have the upper hand of pretty-darn-accurate week-by-week sales predictions (which most of these authors lack).

 I can tell you know nothing about the ps3.1. the interface is not bad... The XMB is great and is more practical than the Blades.  2. The PS3 is an Evolution as is the PSP.  It could possibly last longer than 10yrs, in updates and new advances.  3. laugh all you like Wii fans... But the Wii is running fast... It won't be long til the Wii will run out of steam.  Not many casuals actually play the Wii all that much.  I know a few casuals that play it every now then then... but oh well it's still prints money :P


 I know of casuals who play every night, anecdotal evidence is nothing



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)