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Sky Render said:
I doubt the PS3 will last 10 years in the popular marketplace, simply because it has nothing compelling interface-wise to offer over a current competitor, and won't have anything compelling interface-wise to offer over future competitors either. Sony could probably get away with producing the system for that long and get some amount of sales, but as for the system ever really "taking off" the way the PS2 did, the odds are slim to none.

Predicting a fad is a notoriously hard thing to do anyway. Unless you can accurately gauge the staying power of a product, you can't really say when its popularity will fade. So I can show a little sympathy towards the people who are still anti-Wii, if only because they're still struggling with how strong its appeal really is. Not that we're really much more capable, though we do have the upper hand of pretty-darn-accurate week-by-week sales predictions (which most of these authors lack).

 They don't have an internet connection? 



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