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Q4 2012 release at the very earliest; not sure what the problem is considering 3rd party support for the Wii has more or less dried up as far as major releases go.

Does anyone really need to see Super Mario Galaxy 3 on the Wii or another Mario Kart?

Most of Nintendo's major IPs would be better served on their next gen platform, ideally taking advantage of whatever major additions they add beyond the obvious faster CPU/GPU, more RAM/VRAM and the obligatory HD output.

As for anyone who doesn't want to buy another platform, given the success of the Wii and the low production cost, there's no reason why Nintendo can't or won't keep it in production with nominal software support for at least another 3 years as a low cost legacy platform.