Not really only 8k off Wii sales? However, I will say that the 360 sales will probably be slow for the next 5 months till Gears 3 is out, so they are going to lose some ground.
MS is going to push Kinect even further come E3, and I think Kinext well sell well throughout the holidays.
Another winter of Wii/360 domination in the US will give the boost MS needs to keep second place WW, or at least come very close to that.
Bottom line is sales between now and the holiday don't make much difference. Over the last few years and many years before it's always been about holiday sales, which I think MS will have no problem with. Halo remake, Gears 3, Forza 4, a few surprise titles, more kinect support and the potential for a price cut will jump sales.
As for a new XBox this holiday? Not happening. They are just starting to hire for the next console project, so my guess is we are still 2 years off from a new console.
It's just that simple.
