It's foolish to assume the nextbox is coming out any time in the near future. There's still room for a few price cuts with the 360. We wont be seeing a new console from MS till at least 2012 at the earliest. Personally I think the reason Kinect sales have declined is because Microsoft were arrogant with the pricing. They should have priced the standalone at $80-$100 and the bundle $50-$60 more than the base model. Once MS cut the price of Kinect and more core games come out for it I think sales will stay consistently high like Wii Fit.