| richardhutnik said: How exactly does the comic book story NOT show luck in it? The fact is someone got a break, and acted on it, and happened to break into the business. That break was then removed, so no one else can repeat it. In life, old "rules" people followed do change, and no longer work. That is what is seen in the comic book artist example. In that case, no one else knows what the new rules are, so they engage in a random search strategy in hopes of finding a new way to break in the business. In cases where there is too much supply and not enough demand for talent, then the talent that makes it is the one who was lucky enough to find a new way to break in. Now back to extreme wealth. For that to happen, a large number of choices made and environmental conditions, would have to be the right ones. If it wasn't so, then more people would be extremely wealthy. Given this, also factor in that each situation doesn't have a 100% chance of success of happening. In life, few things are. And let's say that each situation has a .99999 chance (that is 99.999%) of happening. And that, the extreme wealth side is a condition of 1 happening. The .99999 is the guarantee the person has of making it, based on their ability to control successfully and do the right thing. The .00001 is the chance of failure that, if it happened, would end up causing the condition of extreme wealth to happen, well.... http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=.99999 power x = .5 Between between 69000 and 70000 tries, the probability of hitting success breaks right below .5, meaning that the conditions of failure is now greater than the chance to succeed. And this argument is based entirely upon everything a person does, in their control, is what is needed for success, and that which is out of their control, is working against them, a pure condition to measure whether or not extreme wealth is the byproduct of mostly chance or mostly not-chance (luck). |
Again, that's why success isn't predicated on following "the old rules", drastic amazing success pretty much never revolves around that.
People aren't "blindly searching".
Something being hard to achive doesn't mean you need luck to do it!
Not everyone can climb mount everest. Those who do, do not do so because of luck.
Why are you assuming these people did "eerything in their control needed to succeed"
I mean, you assumed the Blitz Ball guy did... except you know, he didn't.
He had an unbelievably stupid idea as a base. Not picking a stupid idea would of been a good start.
