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I'm not sure how you came to your 60% prediction of GOTY for Infamous 2

Let's look at the games you mentioned-

 

Zelda SS Preceded by Zelda TP. Metacritic score = 95

U3 preceded by U2. Meta score = 96

ME3 preceded by ME2. Meta score = 96

New Assassins Creed preceded by AC:B. Meta score = 90

 

And finally

Infamous 2 preceded by Infamous. Meta score = 85

 

So...how did you come to your conclusion that Infamous 2 has a majority chance of GOTY? Did you rely on a few action packed gameplay vids that look a lot like the original (but of course better looking)?