| davygee said: My guess/prediction: Microsoft - 2010 Nintendo - 2011 Sony - 2014 |
I have to agree with davygee's sequance and for the most part with his dates.
Microsoft - They will want to be the "First ones out of the gate". They probably would like to have a 5 year lifecycle for the 360 to recoup some of the losses at the begining of the cycle. That would put the 720 at about 2011. But if the Wii begins to get to big a lead in market share, Microsoft will probable release the 720 in 4 years to counter the Wii sales.
Nintendo - Nintendo will not release a new console while the Wii is outselling the compition. Why would they want to invest in a new console when they are makeing huge amounts of money on the current console. Expect the Wii 2 to be released 6 months to a year after. Nintendo will probably wait until the 720 is outselling the Wii by a consistent 2:1 ratio before they will release the Wii 2.
Sony - Because of the massive losses Sony has taken from the PS3 console, Sony will probably have to extend the consoles life cycle as long as possible to try to recoup as much as they can on the PS3. I expect them to skip the next generation of console and stick with the PS3. They will have to give up marketshare to return to profitability. Expect them to be the first out with a new console in the generation after that. (maybe 3 to 4 years after the 720 is released) I expect that they will learn from their mistakes and have a much stronger console then.
*The pridictions for Sony assume that the gameing division survives this generation. It is not dead yet, but if Sony doesn't make some serious changes soon, that division may end up being closed.
P.S. Please be kind to me as this is my first post. 
