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Personally, I think that Capcom was able to squeeze more than adequate graphics out of the Wii, so I think that they would be happy enough to develop on whatever system Nintendo has up its sleeve to folllow the Wii.

That being said, MH3 didn't sell as much on the Wii as it did on PSP (it still exceeded predictions, though). I've never seen MH on a handheld (I don't own a PSP), but I think that a release on the 3DS followed by releases on the NGP and Wii successor would be in order.

MH4 (3DS) - Holiday 2011/Q1 2012

MH4 (NGP) - 2012

MH4 (Wii successor) - Late 2012

MH4 (PS3) - 2012