hudsoniscool said:
Notorius.A.i.G said:
hudsoniscool said:
Notorius.A.i.G said:
Many of your LT predictions seem low to me.
OT :
Released =
LittleBigPlanet 2 - 5.2 Million lifetime ( Leg, legs, legs ! )
Killzone 3 - 5.0 Million lifetime ( Better legs then Killzone 2. Heavy Bundles )
Yakuza 4 - 550,000
Still To Release =
Playstation Move Heroes - 350,000 - 500,000 ( I'm hoping I'm way off )
Socom 4 - 2.5 Million
Infamous 2 - 4.0 Million ( The UC2 of 2011 )
Resistance 3 - 2.8 Million
Uncharted 3 - 6.1 Million ( Great advertising. Better legs and much more frontloaded )
Sorcery - 5.0 Million ( Bundles and will be the first killer app for the Move )
To Be Determined =
Twisted Metal - 1.8 Million
Rachet and Clank : All 4 One - 2.1 Million
The Last Guardian - 1.8 Million
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lbp2- 3 million
killzone 3- 2.5 million(not only did it not sales as well as kz2 first week, but it had lower metascore than predicted)
infamous 2- 2.3 million(first one is at 1.9 million so how do u expect it to double)
uncharted 3- 5.7 million
sorcery- im not sure but not including bundles less than 1 million
R and C all 4 1- less than a million
twisted metal- 2.5 million
the one that baffled me the most was your killzone 3 prediction. before the release of kz3 i said it wouldnt outsell kz2. it had like a 650k weeks 1. 5 million is like 7.5 times its week 1. thats the equivelent to halo reach which had a 4 million week 1 selling 30 million lifetime. not to mention it underperformed with its reviews which tipicly means less legs, so 5 million or even 4 million is completly out of the question.
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FW's aren't the only thing that determine a games lifetime sales. LittleBigPlanet had a opening of 300,000.
Now it's sitting at 4.3 Million. The reviews for Killzone 3 may hurt it's long term legs but GT5 and Reach are performing better then GT4 and Halo 3 although both had lower review scores. Lifetime sales of 4 - 5 Million not out of reach. Regarding your predictions :
Infamous 2 will see improvements and the review scores will reflect that. It will also get a bigger push then the original Infamous. I can see Infamous 2 reaching the 1.7 - 2.0 Million range by years end.
Rachet and Clank : All 4 One will pass 1 Million for sure. Both Rachets released this gen have done it. So why wouldn't All 4 One ? Especially with the multi - player addition
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the first week sales of a sequel unless its made vast improvements do reflect its sales. so lbp's first week is irrelevent since it was a new ip. lb2 is tracking behind it i believe so theres no way it has legs near as good as it.
when u campare kilzone 3 to killzone 2 in its first 3 weeks its down so i dont see even with amazing legs(it wont have them)how it could reach 5 million. GT5 is only beating GT4 because GT5 launched in the winter. soon it wont be beating it and its legs dont look that good(out of the top 40). reach underscored criticly but i dont believe the fans think its worse than 3. besides it had a bigger launch than 3 so not relevent anyway.
theres no way of knowing how good infamous 2 is going to be before it releases, no way. so making the assumption that its going to be amazing is fanboyish.
im sorry but your predictions show how extremly biased you are.
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I think your forgetting the fact that everyone that enjoyed LBP is going to eventually get LBP 2 and LBP is going to take a hit from LBP 2 (especially since custome LBP levels are playable in 2)
