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Untamoi on 17 March 2011
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mchaza said:
hikaruchan said:
mchaza said:

no, we need an good 3-4 more years first 

But the Wii can get an upgrade next year tho. 

also we are like 4 years into this gen and i say 4 years because if the PS2 was very successful in 2005-2006 then the gen didn't start until 2007 with PS3 release. 

The current Gen started in 2004 with the DS and then the first Home Console the XBOX 360 in 2005 so the gen is that old.

the start of a Gen is dictated by who launches first not last.  

doesn't matter, SONY is recouping the billions lost from the PS3 and MS has budgeted 500 million for the kinect suggesting they are in it for the long haul. A besides all points for MS doing digital only console but its still at least 3 years before that could be comerically viable 

First, PS3 was released 2006 (USA and Japan), not 2007. And if next generation would be released 3-4 years from now then this would be 2-3 years longer than any console generation before. Because console generations have only lasted 5-6 years until now. You also have to remember that MS makes 15-20 billion dollar profits every year so some losses from next generation console don't matter much to them. And Nintendo has a lot of money in the bank too so they could launch next generation console when ever they seem fit. But I don't think 2011 is good timing for any console for any console maker to launch next generation console so earliest launch is 2012...

My prediction for next generation is that Nintendo will release Wii 2 in 2012 and Sony and MS will release PS4 and 720 in 2013. Even that would make this generation a lot longer than previous generation. PS2 lasted 6 years, XBox 4 years and GameCube 5 years until release of successors. In my prediction, Wii would last 6 years, PS3 7 years and 360 8 years.