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Going off the UK numbers i think it will be interesting to see how KZ3 does longterm. KZ2 had the 5th fastest selling opening week for a Sony published game this gen here. KZ3 is just 14th. It will be way down on its predecessor here at least. GFK say it did roughly the same as LBP2. The game has already been discounted in some stores with tesco now selling it at just £27. Almost half price. Considering it was released only like 4 days ago that isn't a good sign. The same thing happened with Dead Space 2 and LBP2.

So based on the early data i'd guess it will sell on par with the first one. So around 2.5m-3m.