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I think it will burn out in the sense that sales will dop enough that it will not be a yearly game. There are so many new people joining all the time so I expect it still has a good 3-5 years before everything gets to redundant.  For all you shooter haters, I am sorry to say that I don't think anything is changing anytime soon so if you dont like the games of today go retro and quit whining because alot of people have loved shooters for well over a decade and that is not going to change. SORRY.