Is Kinect eating into Wii sales?

[binary solo]

I don't think so, or at least not significantly so.

Wii is substantially down everywhere. 360 is only substantially up in the Americas, in fact this week and last week 360 was down YoY in EMEAA. I think in the Americas Kinect is having a slight effect on Wii sales, but I think no more than 10%. The rest of the Wii decrease YoY in Americas is due to Wii running out of steam at its current price. And the totality of Wii YoY decrease in the rest of the world is running out of steam at the current price.

If anything PS3 is putting the boot into Wii across EMEAA, but really I think Wii is doing it to itself for the most part.

I think what's truly amazing about 2011 is that it appears 360 has an excellent shot at being the number 1 selling home console for the year, without being the number 1 selling console in the majority of countries. In fact it could be that the margin 360 has over the 2nd placed console is all down to a single country: USA. I am reasonably confident in saying that this is surely unprecedented. Certainly every year Wii has been the #1 console it's been #1 in almost every market, or absolutely every market where it is available. And PS2 was clearly the #1 console pretty much everywhere during its time at the top of the heap. PS1 was more than likely the same. And the Ninty systems before that.

I really didn't think Kinect would put 360 in the number 1 spot in 2011, but I didn't count on Wii cutting off it's own knees, nor Americas getting so much more of a hard on for Kinect than the rest of the world. This has been one odd generation.