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robzo100 said:

Not so sure.  Hardware sales are slowing down for all systems.  Artistically, yes, it is relevant if a piece of hardware has not been tapped fully into, but business-wise?  If sales come to a halt then you can be rest assured that a new piece of hardware is coming to the forefront.

 And next year will not be as nice to the big 3.  Microsoft luckily had Kinect to help them through and Nintendo had their Sports Resort and NSMBW from waaaay earlier in the year (Donkey Kong was a nice sell, but it didn't carry them this christmas).  Sony, the one who wanted to stay in the generation the longest, wasn't as lucky as the other two.

I can possibly see Nintendo scoring another Sports Resort type hit with Zelda: Skyward Sword, and that is because it uses the Sports Resort mechanics as the main gameplay system.  And it's those types of hits that move hardware.  As for the other two guys,  there will not be any other major hits coming close to the relavancy of Kinect or Black Ops.

We'll see new hardware from all three the November two years from now, at least.  Not this coming year though for Nintendo considering that they can't release a huge motion controlled Zelda hit only to have it shine sales wise for a year.

Hardware sales are quite nice for 360 with Kinect out now, and that's with no major price cuts yet.  And do you really think that a $199 PS3 isn't going to sell through the roof either?  The only hardware that's slowing down is the Wii (which by the way still had an INCREDIBLE holiday this last year), and will do just fine in 2011; the Wii is not even $149 yet, much less it's eventual price of $129 or even $99.

I do agree that it is likely that Nintendo will have the Wii's successor at the end of 2012 because they have already profited ridiculously well, but you are surely mistaken if you think PS4 will be coming that early.