stranne on 08 January 2008
| Bruceongames said: This is a gradual process. 12 months from now the Wii will probably still be quite hot. 24 months from now the Wii will probably be seen as being just as obsolete as the PS2. This timing is very approximate and either or both could move by as much as 12 months. That doesn't make it less inevitable. It is no good talking about previous generations of console because that is not what we are talking about. The paragrim shift here is that we are talking (for the first time in our industry) about a new generation of television. Obviously the Wii right now is a big bundle of fun. It was the toy of choice in Q4 2007. But a lot of this was down to it being a craze or fad. Like hoola hoops once were. This will not continue when it is generally seen as being out of date. Over lifetime the PS3 and 360 will both sell more than Wii. This is because they will have 10 year product lives. |
So you're saying that Wii might be quite hot and sell like crazy for another 24 months? And then it will die in a year, when it has an installed base of at least 50M?
And the paradigm shift is in the controller.
