I think Kinect might see alot might a price drop to $129 this upcoming holiday season, since M$ has already recouped its development cost for it, and I'm sure is going to get production cost sub $30, if not already there. The BOM cost of Kinect at launch was $56 (http://eetimes.com/electronics-news/4210649/Kinect-s-BOM-roughly--56--teardown-finds-) so looking at that list, everything is probably going to see a 30% reductions yoy, to include volume reductions. A third reduction places the potential price at around $99 for retail, but I think M$ will keep prices at $129, and we will see many $99 special on Black Friday and the like. Kinect will see about 16 million sales this year, which places it at 24 million by year's end. I think it is possible to get to the balance board, if it has sold 34 million to-date.
"...You can't kill ideas with a sword, and you can't sink belief structures with a broadside. You defeat them by making them change..."
- From By Schism Rent Asunder
