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snakenobi on 02 February 2011
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Darth Tigris said:
snakenobi said:

REPLY 1)yeah kinect came out in november,i know that but the pricecut i was talking was also for the FALL QUARTER only(OCT-DEC)

REPLY 2)Kinect will stay cool but not as cool as the last year..

and don't even compare it with Wii

Wii came out in November but really took off in 2007.It had great sales in 2006 but that time the attention was kind of shared by PS3 but in 2007 the Wii popularity really took off.

also Wii was a full console from the starting at $250 not like KINECT plus 360

another thing is the Wii was seen from the start as a fun (for casual gamers) which 360 wasn't,it was more of a hardcore console

and wii didn't have as big marketing push as the one Kinect got

 

so what i'm saying is that Kinect will still be BIG and sell alot,but over time a products coolness and popularity drops plus taking into the consideration the past of a console,things can change.

so what i'm predicting is KINECT will be big at $149 but they will see a drop(from the big levels last year) that they can compensate but dropping the price.

Yes, Kinect started hot and had the supply (for the most part) to appease those that wanted it.  It has cooled down already as the holiday season ended (like everything else has), but it is still selling about as much (or more some weeks) than the dedicated consoles.

As for the Wii comparison, the reasons you gave as to why its not a viable ones are simply your opinion and not something that those without a dog in the race agree with.  It has increased sales of the 360 substantially.  But you're right, sales will cool and likely spike and back and forth.  But overall the odds are very good that it will grow.  

And remember, the Wii had all of these same complaints leveraged against it in early 2007 and went on to have a historic year.  Many thought it peaked, but then it went on to have an even BETTER 2008.  So all this talk about Kinect cooling off significantly and not having any further success like we've seen already?  It comes off more like wishful thinking from most instead of proper impartial analysis of its performance, its reputation and its outlook.

wii did even better in 2008 but it had all those things which i mentioned too

kinect won't cool off significantly,just saying without a boost it will come down a bit from the outrageous levels it was this holiday season.