I'm not sure that NGP has any chance whatsoever of winning the sales race this time around either, neither company has really changed their approach, Nintendo has made a new system that will appeal to all the DS owners but might draw in more hardcore becuase of the greater graphics capability and the 3D.
NGP is a system that is exactly like the PSP but stronger, so it will appeal to the audience of the PSP but doesn't seem to have anything that will capture an expanded market. So best case scenario, it will have the same market share as the current PSP.
I just hope nobody is violently upset when NGP doesn't outsell the 3DS








