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If DQX comes out this year, Wii will win, if not, PS3 will. Simple as that.

PS3 will accumulate a greater and greater lead over Wii the majority of the year, but Wii will make most make most of it (if not all) during the holiday season. Add the factor of DQX and that would surely put Wii over the top.

Though sales in Japan seem to be inverted to the rest of the world, so who knows..