Seece on 26 January 2011
It's just too unlikely IMO.
For it to happen it would need next gen to start no earlier than xmas 2013 (likely anyway). Even so ...
(shipped)
2010 - 52 mill (roughly)
2011 - (15) - 67 mill
2012 - (12) - 79 mill
2013 - (9) - 88 mill
2014 - (5) - 93 mill
2015 - (2) - 95 mill
That is pretty much best case scenario, unless a Kinect AND 360 price cut really spur sales beyond belief and a $99 360 has a big legacy in the states.
It has an outside chance but I think 85 mill is a better target.
