SamuelRSmith said:
However, China's growth is based on some severely flawed economic principles, and the Government are actually creating a weak demographic structure (1 child policy = rising population age). What you've said is right, though, it's very, very hard to predict what will happen... even if it looks blatantly obvious (ie. rise of China). |
Except China is very different this time, it's growth has been driven mainly by internal demand now according to the 2010's figure. They can easily sell those junks they made in their own country instead of walmart... China has 1.3 billion population, so potentially the Chinese market could be 4 times bigger than USA's. and 13 times of Japan's.
I remember back in the 90's many predicted China would collapse during the first decade in 21st century, even the most optimistic prediction was like the GDP of China's would match Japan's in 2020, and USA's in 2050... Now look what has happened. Back in 8 years, China only ranked 7th in Normal GDP, (USA, JP, Germany, UK, France, Italy, China) now the Chinese GDP is 2.5 times of UKs almost twice of Germany's (remeber China only matched Germany's GDP 3 years ago?). All of these happened within one decade.
Yes, the future is hard to predict, but the rise of China is so obvious and unstoppable, instead of fighting it, I suggest we embracing it...







