SamuelRSmith said:
Even the most optimistic estimates for China's economy exceeding USA's is around 2030... and those always assume that China will be able to have a growth rate of above 8% a year. That's not going to happen, they'll probably be growing at 5-6% by the end of this decade. If you also factor the huge property bubble which will burst, I don't think we could realistically see China taking USA's position until atleast 2035, 2040... and then when you go by a per capita basis... frankly, it's not going to happen this century. |
Or...the US economy could just collapse to a third of it.
China is a very interesting case. It's funny in general how other countries basically have to put up with their blantat state run hacking for trade secrets programs. Wonder when it will come to a head.
Though yeah, economic predictions are dumb because they're like never right.









