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As i continue to look at the Wii sales, i find it hard to believe that the software is selling the systems.  I guess to me, that people are still buying it because in general, the public are all lemmings.  They just seem to buy what the think that everyone else is buying.  I agree that if the Kinect continues to gain awareness as the "cool" thing to buy, the Wii sales will ultimately see a very strong downward trend later in the year(especially in the US).  But, maybe Nintendo has a plan to release something later in the year to surprise us all?  Kind of doubt it...

It's been how many years and people still think Wii sells on lemming status alone?  Games, man.  People are obviously buying the software so hwo can they not be a factor?  if they didn't like the software, the attach rate would plummet and it hasn't.

And of course it's supposed to drop of this summer really bad.  Just like it was supposed to drop off realy bad every summer since summer 2007.

I didn't say that all of the sales are from "Lemmings", just 60% probably.  Look mom its RED, we need a new one.... I agree that Nintendo is putting out every one of their staple titles, and gaming fans from years past are reliving their childhood.  But the attach rate doesn't mean much to me.  Having all the shovelware and cheap titles for $10-30 makes it easy for people to add titles that  they find as crap after buying them and because of the price, they don't feel totally ripped off.  

As far as the drop off scenario, this is the first year that there is an actual reason for it(even though Wii did drop last year).  With the Move/Kinect basically taking away the Specialness of the Wii if not totally deleting it.  That allows people to upgrade to an HD console that has the Wii motion and HD capabilities.