The Bears just might win the Super Bowl

[superchunk]

rocketpig said:

amp316 said:

I am hearing about the Packers tougher schedule and really it's not as tough as you think:

The Packers played the Eagles on the road and the Bears played them at home you say.  I say that the Eagles faced the Kevin Kolb led Eagles and barely won.  The Bears steamrolled the much better Eagles led by Michael Vick.  It's not the same thing. 

The Packers and Bears both played the Giants with the Packers winning and the Bears losing won in those respective games you say.  I say that the Bears played the extremely tough early season Giants.  The Packers played the late season creampuff Giants.  It's not the same thing. 

The Packers lost to the Falcons in the regular season and the Bears didn't play them.  You got me there.

Both teams beat the Jets. 

The Bears had their worst game against the Patriots (this is true) and the Packers nearly beat them.  Why?  New England didn't even show up and took them lightly.  They saw that Errol Flynn, or whatever his name is, was playing and thought that it would be a cake walk.  The Patriots have the tendancy to underestimate teams and play badly.  Look at that game, the game against the Browns, the playoff game against the Jets, and the Super Bowl game against the Giants.  Basically, what I'm saying is that despite that and the fact that it was a must win game for the Packers, they lost.

Oh, also both teams played the Lions twice and I only saw the Packers losing to them.  You know what they say; If you can lose to the Lions, you can lose to anybody.

Another thing I have heard all year is that how all of the games that the Packers have lost this year have been close.  This isn't exactly something to be proud of.  When you repeatedly lose close games it says one of two things:

1)  The QB is bad.

2)  The coach is bad.

Pick one.  I'm sure that you won't pick the bad QB choice and I'd agree.  Let's face it, the Packers dodged bullets against the Bears in the last regular season game and against the Eagles.  Clock mismanagement and hoping that the other team screws up is not the way to win close games.  I remember the Packers two or three years ago being up on the Bears by I think that it was 7 with around 5 minutes left.  It was fourth and goal and instead of kicking the field goal they went for it.  They didn't make it and wound up losing because of McCarthy's decision.  Championship teams normally win close games. 

Rodgers is a fine QB, but don't start with his highest passer rating ever in the playoffs stuff.  He's hardly played any playoff games.  I could say that Jay Cutler has the best W/L percentage in the playoffs ever and how would you react to that?  Rodgers played a great game against the Falcons, but don't expect him to put the same kinds of numbers up against the Bears.  He won't be 31 for 35 or whatever he was.  Trust me on this one.   

I'm not saying that they will, but the Packers just might lose this Sunday. 

Kolb was injured against the Packers and Vick played most of the game.

The Bears put up three points against the Giants. I don't care when and where they played them, that's a bad showing.

Yes, the Packers lost to the Lions. That was pretty pathetic, losing a game against Detroit 3-7.

The Patriots give away games? Have you been watching the same Belichick-coached games as the rest of the world? He's the only guy ever to go 16-0 in a season and is NOTORIOUS for preparing his players for EVERY game, no matter who they're playing. That statement is just ridiculous.

Teams sometimes lose close games. It happens. But the fact remains that the team KEPT themselves in that game and gave themselves the chance to win. There were a few Bears games they couldn't even manage that. Give me a close loss any day over a blowout (and I bet every player polled in the NFL would say the same thing).

The two teams are close, there's no doubt about that. But, despite your attempts to shore up the schedule differences, the Bears had a lot of tough teams at home while the Packers had a lot of tough teams on the road. The Packers also scored more points and allowed fewer points over the course of the season (about 100 over the Bears so about a 6 point difference per game, in other words, A LOT).

There's a reason the Packers are favored in this game. Vegas odds-makers aren't stupid.

True, however, I've seem them be wrong many times these playoffs so far and to bet against the home team in an intense rivalry.....

I really can't wait for Sunday.