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makingmusic476 on 06 January 2008
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Mummelmann said:
makingmusic476 said:

Digital downloads won't begin to take a hold of the market until download speeds break the 15 MBps barrier, allowing a 1080p HD film to be downloaded in mere hours, and HDDs reach the multiple TB level (4+) so that dozens (if not hundreds) of movies can be stored on a single device.

Of course, taht still won't be sufficient for people like me who simply prefer having a physical copy of the film? I still buy CDs, and I'll continue to buy movies for many years. I prefer a hard copy of a cd/movie because I like the case and booklet, because I can bring it wherever I want and use it on whatever player I want, and because it's always there if I needed. What if my HDD goes? There goes all my movies.

And what about all the non-tech saavy people? many of them still use dial-up, and would probably have a hard time keeping track of downloaded movies.


Good post! I have a 12MBps line myself, but 99% of all people in Norway who have broadband have 2MBps or slower, some as slow as 704Kbit. Much of this stems from tele companies wanting to earn as much dough as possible while providing the least bandwidth possible to be cost efficent. Outputting 1.5-2 MBps for 30$ a month is a helluva lot better than my 12 MBps for 35$ per month for the company.

Meanwhile, those who offer online services are filling up on content and are wishing for faster lines so people will make use of their content to a greater degree. The wishes of the online supplier and the boradband supplier do not coincide yet, unfortunately.

The tech freaks in Norway are loathe to use ADSL over fiber if given the choice, which is no wonder; fiber is basically 10-20 times faster for the same price or even less, and the DSL up speed is abbhorrent at best.

Anyways, back on point; it'll be at least 10 years realistically before your average broadband user has the bandwidth to make good use of streaming HD content at acceptable speed. So optical media is here to stay, for a lot longer than a decade, I think.


We have DSL, at 6mbps.  We could get Cox cable internet that maxes out at 15 mbps, but it's super expensive to get that amount of bandwidth, and Cox is very unreliable in our area, shutting out randomly. It wouldn't mean much to me personally in the end, as I'm on wi-fi maxing out at 54 mbitps.

I think the fastest we can get here is FiOS, with 15mbps both down and up.