I think there's a definite risk there.
But I also think Nintendo is nimble enough to survive. The 3DS looks to me like a retreat upstream. Just look at all the big 3rd party core games in the lineup, and not a single new game idea to draw the expanded audience.
Maybe Nintendo is going back to the DS strategy of bringing out the next Nintendogs or Brain Training after the early-adopting core crowd are already on board, instead of driving the platform with new ideas from the start, like the Wii. Maybe they're just tapped for ideas right now. To me, it looks like Nintendo is moving to secure the upstream mobile gaming market, because it just can't compete with $1-5 indie games.
And I think Nintendo could survive rather well with a 3DS that sells like the PSP, serving the most game-obsessed customers, and biding its time until the right opportunity to counterattack.
"The worst part about these reviews is they are [subjective]--and their scores often depend on how drunk you got the media at a Street Fighter event." — Mona Hamilton, Capcom Senior VP of Marketing
*Image indefinitely borrowed from BrainBoxLtd without his consent.
