HD DVD is dead; Blu Ray will lose the war

[rocketpig]

Jigglypuff said:

rocketpig said:

Smidlee said:

If I'm not mistaken not long after the PS2 came out DVD players became very cheap. Why do you think it will be any different with Blu-Ray players?

Also in order to downloaded movies (unlike music) you got to have boardband which isn't cheap in itself.

This is a common misconception when talking about the current format war. DVD standalone players were already under $150 and were selling by the millions before the PS2 released. I'm not saying that Blu-ray will fail but the circumstances are much different this time around.

I forsee one of two things happening:

- Blu-ray penetrates the market and by 2012 or so, starts rivaling DVD in media sales.

- Blu-ray fails to gain enough steam before a new, improved physical media releases and ultimately succumbs to this new format.

Either way, physical media will always exist, though not to the extent we've seen with DVD. DLC will take a portion of the market, the real question is how much it will take.

I disagree totally. In the UK the PS2 was the cheapest DVD player around. I bought the PS2 solely for DVD, just like i have bought the PS3 for only Blu Ray. 

You can go ahead and disagree all you want but the fact remains that DVD players were cheaper than the PS2 when it released and were selling by the millions. If you don't believe me, go ahead and Google it.

Some people on this forum have an amazingly short memory.