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DirtyP2002 said:

Ohh one of these threads again. There is always something that threatens Microsoft I guess. Great to have the netbooks back. People told me that netbooks would really hurt MS, because they are taking away market share of Notebooks and Windows would be too expensive to run on those cheap netbooks.

http://computerworld.co.nz/news.nsf/tech/D22A33B802C06210CC257569007A07FF

One month later, MS announces a 96% market share for Windows on netbooks.

http://www.eclecticelectronics.net/news/microsoft-claims-96-market-share-for-netbooks/

 

MS just posted a ALL-TIME high on revenue and profit. Windows and Office are not going anywhere, especially with Windows 7 being the fastest selling OS in the history of computers.

Look at it this way: the markets you mentioned (phone) and the markets MS is not leading right now (search, gaming) are bets and only have the purpose to expand their businesses. Imagine the next Xbox being the leader for the next gen and crashin the competition like the Wii does right now. The EDD alone could be as big as whole Nintendo. That might give you a different view on things.

8 million Kinect users 16 million paying Xbox Live users is nothing but spectacular. So gaming is actually a market where MS is heavily expanding.

Let's see how Windows Mobile keeps performing.

In a word: MS is in fantastic shape (profit and revenue on a historic HIGH) and there are chances to expand even further, while nothing will ever kill the fundament MS is building up on (Windows, Office, Server).


Totally agree with you...apart from the MS Server bit.  Linux rules the web server roost and linux servers are rapidly making headway in government and private sectors from US Defence and the Navy Submarine Fleets to the biggest companies in the world, there is even a rumour that MS uses linux servers.

The frontend will always be Windows 7 or any Windows Workstation, but the backend widely used and growing is Linux.

The developing countries (and wanna be superpowers) in Asia are all looking to be technological independent from the US and are developing their own processors and OSes based on different flavours of desktop linux.

MS will most likely rule the West for a long time and make lots more money but in the end when these nations finally develope their own systems  - however far ahead in the future that may be, national pride and the sheer numbers of people in Asia will make linux based systems the top dog...if all goes to plan.