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Killiana1a said:

Software sells the hardware...Yet it depends on the type of software.

Heavy niche genre games such as JRPGs, WRPGs, Sandbox, FPS, Sports, and racing games can easily sell 5 million in the first month. However, if you look at the legs of a Fallout: New Vegas, Red Dead Redemption, Fable 3 and on, you will see they don't sell like a Wii Sports whom many "core" games easily write off as "casual" game.

Looking at the list provided by Kivi95, I don't see any 20 million sellers there like a Wii Sports, Wii Fit, or Wii Play type game that we all know Microsoft is trying to create for the Kinect.

All Kinect has to is have  Kinect Sports, Kinect Adventures, Child of Eden or some other Kinect game catch fire in 2011 and sell 15 million plus to burn Sony, while Sony needs 3 to 4 of those titles to sell in the 5 million range. This is the power of a platform aimed at your consumer who is unfamiliar with video games.

Wii Sports, New Super Mario Bros. Wii, Wii Sports Resort, and Wii Fit Plus were not released in 2010, but accounted for more than 48 million in software sales in 2010*. All exclusive, not multiplatform to boost and inflate sales like a CoD game. If there is a Kinect Fit, then you can kiss Sony's vaunted 2011 exclusive list goodbye.

* = http://gamrfeed.vgchartz.com/story/83386/top-selling-games-of-2010-multi-wii-ps3-psp-ds-x360/

Your Shape Fitness and Zoomba workout thingy is Kinect Fit.

Good analysis all around.



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