HD DVD is dead; Blu Ray will lose the war

[Kyros]

"The next mass adoption media will be downloads and HD VOD"

bah lots of people are saying this but its mostly FUD. There is no really working SD (not even talking about DVD quality) download or VOD service and HD content is out of question.

We are talking about at least 15Gb for a movie. I do not have a internet connection that could handle that and I know nobody who does. Streaming would be the only solution and this doesn't work very well either especially when you want to fast-forward etc.

I would say we are quite a few years away from really workable HD download services. And even then a BluRay disc can contain 50Gb. You would need a big hard-disc to save a couple of movies. I am no movie fan and have perhaps 50 DVDs if these were HD that would be up to 2,5 Terrabyte, nice. Optical media are here to stay for a while.

In the end there are two prerequisites for HD VOD taking over.

1. It needs to be as easy and usable and reactive as DVD/BR, thats a lot of years away.
2. ALL movie companies have to make support the VOD platform (for example iTMS) without too many DRM hassles. That's even harder to achieve.

No we will have optical media for a while.