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Using only rounded numbers as all tracking firms are estimations anyways.

Wii currently stands at 84m.

Wii sold:

16m - 2007
24m - 2008
22m - 2009
19m - 2010

There will be a Zelda game this year and most likely some kind of Zelda inspired 25th anniversary edition like Mario. There will be 1-3 other Nintendo IPs launched throughout the year as typical Nintendo fashion and probably a couple quality 3rd party titles along with the typical annual releases of other multiplats.

2010 had no price reductions for any system. To me this means there will definitely be price cuts on all three sometime in the summer or just before summer.

With all this in mind I think its really not an argument but a fact that Wii will sell at least the 16m units required to reach the 100m mark. In fact I think it may hit closer to 18m over the year due to a price break and only be slightly down YOY.

What are your thoughts?