| superchunk said: Until 2010, x360 was barely reaching 10m/year. It currently stands at 51m. That means it needs about 14m units to hit 65m. Considering 2010 was its best year ever with a slim model launch and a surprisingly (to me) successful Kinect and it just reached 14m for the year, I think I'd bet on it not reaching 65m. More than likely there will be a price drop. I think Kinect will still be successful, but not continue to sell at this rate now that xmas is over. I think by the end of this year we'll be hearing rumblings about next gen. All of this to me means x360's best result is back to around 10-12m in 2011. Thus, it should break 60m, but not 65m; IMHO. |
Hm, I think in this case the 60M is given this year, it's a question whether there will be a price cut and how big it will be. If the price cut is substantial in a range of $50-$100 then I think, combined with Kinect it can push an additional 3M in growth. You got to remember, the numbers before the launch of Slim were abysmal, I'd be surprised if 360 falls below YoY at all up to June(About the slim launch weeks)
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