Borkachev said: ...
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HDTV penetration becomes total? Definitely not in a few years, and probably not in 10. Remember, DVDs were designed to be used in players connected to standard-def TVs. I can't imagine most consumers going out in the next few years and replacing all the TV's in their homes just so they can play HD material. When Bill and Sue consumer are 56 years old and just want to watch the latest sitcom and the evening news, they're not going to run out and replace their 2-3 TVs so they can watch the Discovery Channel or the SciFi Channel or Letterman or a Blu-ray movie in HD.
The US government realized it was folly to try and force 100% HD adoption... that's why they're going to make certain down-converting equipment can be purchased for cheap before the broadcast-HD switchover.