| Smidlee said: If I'm not mistaken not long after the PS2 came out DVD players became very cheap. Why do you think it will be any different with Blu-Ray players? Also in order to downloaded movies (unlike music) you got to have boardband which isn't cheap in itself. |
This is a common misconception when talking about the current format war. DVD standalone players were already under $150 and were selling by the millions before the PS2 released. I'm not saying that Blu-ray will fail but the circumstances are much different this time around.
I forsee one of two things happening:
- Blu-ray penetrates the market and by 2012 or so, starts rivaling DVD in media sales.
- Blu-ray fails to gain enough steam before a new, improved physical media releases and ultimately succumbs to this new format.
Either way, physical media will always exist, though not to the extent we've seen with DVD. DLC will take a portion of the market, the real question is how much it will take.
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