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I too had heard from a few friends that this product was too expensive for their tastes, that they doubted it could go mainstream (and thus improve), and that it would be a temporary fad.  Needless to say, as the OP points out, in only a few short months opinions have rapidly changed. 

I do not know if this is a fair comparison or not; but, for the fun of thought, the Kinect sales before/after remind me alot of when Wii first came out.  I know alot of folks who simply did not see the point, were dissapointed in the non-HD system, thought that the product would be too limited, that there were no "real games," etc.  Well, once everyone was buying the Wii, suddenly folks who never had even tried it were buying it simply because it was the "it" toy.  Well, many years later the Wii still is the "it" toy; perhaps Kinect's success will be similiar. 

In the end tho, I doubt that either will see the appropriate amounts of love on these forums :( Nintendo Fanboys seem too content playing their awesome games and Kinect fanboys seem to get driven off by the torch-wielding mobs. Oh well; enjoy the games!