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LordTheNightKnight said:
makingmusic476 said:
Victoresparza2003 said:
SO, when do you guys think we'll start to see the affects of Warner Bros. actions. (ie Blu Ray wipesout hddvd).

Things will start to slow drastically for HD DVD as news of this spreads, as it will turn off potential buyers, cause HD DVD owners to go format neutral, and cause dual format owners to curb their HD DVD buying habits. This will cause sales to slwow drastically, decreasing retail space, which already heavily favors Blu.

Things won't really end until after May, when Warner stops releasing on HD DVD, removing over 1/3rd of HD DVD's catalog, including major titles like 300, Batman Begins, and other top sellers on HD DVD.


That is really presumptive. It could happen, but don't pretend this is anything other than a guess right now. We don't know what consumers are going to do.


Indeed, my use of the word "drastically" is a bit of an exagerration.  Things will slow, and what I said will happen over time (imo), however.  

Once Warner's titles begin to go out of stock, HD DVD's sales will fall far behind Blu-Ray's, simply because of lack of content, let alone a smaller install base.  Three out of the four top sellers on HD DVD in 2007 were Warner titles: 300, Planet Earth, and Batman Begins.  What happens when titles like those and Harry Potter disappear?  And new titles like the Dark Knight are released exclusively on Blu-Ray?  Or the Lord of the Rings?  HD DVD cannot survive on just Universal and Paramount, especially since Spielberg's titles are specifically excluded from all exclusivity deals, including Indiana Jones, ET, Jurassic Park, etc.